Norddeutsches Küsten- und Klimabüro
 

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Cuxhaven

Possible impact of future sea level rise on storm surges by 2100

Impact of MSL in RCP8.5 scenario If future greenhouse gas emission keeps high (like in RCP8.5):
  • a severe storm surge like in 1962 (cross) could occur about every 10 years at Cuxhaven.
  • In the current climate, this storm surge occurs statistically about every 116 years at Cuxhaven. A 116-year event in such a future climate could reach a height of about 5.54 meters at Cuxhaven relative to the mean of 1986-2005.
  • A 200-year event, which is an important reference for coastal defense measures, may occur about every 15 years at Cuxhaven in such a future climate.
  • A 200-year event in such a future climate could reach a height of about 5.67 meters at Cuxhaven relative to the mean of 1986-2005.
Impact of MSL in RCP2.6 scenario If future greenhouse gas emisson will be significantly reduced (like in RCP2.6):
  • a severe storm surge like in 1962 (cross) may occur about every 28 years at Cuxhaven.
  • In the current climate, this storm surge occurs statistically about every 116 years at Cuxhaven. A 116-year event in such a future climate could reach a height of about 5.22 meters at Cuxhaven relative to the mean of 1986-2005.
  • A 200-year event, which is an important reference for coastal defense measures, may occur about every 44 years at Cuxhaven in such a future climate.
  • A 200-year event in such a future climate could reach a height of about 5.35 meters at Cuxhaven relative to the mean of 1986-2005.